The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.

The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.

Date of Patent:
Apr. 09, 2013

Filed:

Jan. 27, 2010
Applicants:

Thore Graepel, Cambridge, GB;

Joaquin Quinonero Candela, Cambridge, GB;

Thomas Ivan Borchert, Cambridge, GB;

Ralf Herbrich, Cambridge, GB;

Inventors:

Thore Graepel, Cambridge, GB;

Joaquin Quinonero Candela, Cambridge, GB;

Thomas Ivan Borchert, Cambridge, GB;

Ralf Herbrich, Cambridge, GB;

Assignee:

Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA (US);

Attorneys:
Primary Examiner:
Assistant Examiner:
Int. Cl.
CPC ...
G06F 15/18 (2006.01);
U.S. Cl.
CPC ...
Abstract

Event prediction in dynamic environments is described. In an embodiment a prediction engine may use the learnt information to predict events in order to control a system such as for internet advertising, email filtering, fraud detection or other applications. In an example one or more variables exists for pre-specified features describing or associated with events and each variable is considered to have an associated weight and time stamp. For example, belief about each weight is represented using a probability distribution and a dynamics process is used to modify the probability distribution in a manner dependent on the time stamp for that weight. For example, the uncertainty about the associated variable's influence on prediction of future events is increased. Examples of different schedules for applying the dynamics process are given.


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