The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.

The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.

Date of Patent:
Sep. 14, 2010

Filed:

Oct. 06, 2004
Applicants:

Jerry Z. Shan, Palo Alto, CA (US);

Hsiu-khuem Tang, San Jose, CA (US);

Inventors:

Jerry Z. Shan, Palo Alto, CA (US);

Hsiu-Khuem Tang, San Jose, CA (US);

Assignee:
Attorney:
Primary Examiner:
Int. Cl.
CPC ...
G06F 17/30 (2006.01);
U.S. Cl.
CPC ...
Abstract

Systems and methods are disclosed for cumulative attribute forecasting using a probability density function of a current-to-future value ratio. Some method embodiments may comprise determining an unconditional probability density function for a ratio of a cumulative attribute's current value to an associated future value for the cumulative attribute, and determining an unconditional PDF for a future value of the cumulative attribute. The unconditional probability functions are combined with a current value of the cumulative attribute in a manner that yields a conditional probability density function for the future value. The conditional probability density function may then be used to determine forecasts such as a most likely future value, a mean value, a median value, a confidence interval for the future value, and a probability of achieving a future value within some specified range.


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