The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.
The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.
Patent No.:
Date of Patent:
Aug. 12, 2003
Filed:
Sep. 08, 1999
William P. Jennings, Simi Valley, CA (US);
M. Chapman Findlay, III, Los Angeles, CA (US);
G. Michael Phillips, Pasadena, CA (US);
Stephen A. Klein, Pasadena, CA (US);
Mark E. Rice, Pasadena, CA (US);
C4Cast.com, Inc., Pasadena, CA (US);
Abstract
Provided is a contest that produces forecasting data for predesignated variables whose values change over time. Initially, participant registrations are accepted, and the participants are permitted to submit predictions of values, projected at plural different time points, for at least one of several predesignated variables. Then, the participants receive an overall ranking based on their relative accuracies (e.g., percentile rankings) in individual prediction events. Additional features of the invention include: requiring demographic information as a condition to registration, rewarding participants for updating their predictions as early as possible, basing overall ranking on both accuracy and accuracy consistency in individual prediction events, basing the overall ranking on how soon the participants' final predictions were made before certain closing time points, and permitting participants to submit estimates of their own prediction uncertainty.