Method and system for projecting steady state conditions of a product

Abstract

The steady state condition of a subject product is projected using transient data developed through actual or simulated tests or operations. The transient data represent the monotonic or cyclic property states of the product while subjected to environmental or operational conditions. A first and second property state value corresponding to the transient data for selected times within the test period are identified. A first and second rate-of-change value corresponding to the change in the property states at the selected times are then computed. A time constant value is next computed by applying the time interval and the first and the second rate-of-change values to a time constant function. A projected steady state condition value is next computed by applying the second rate-of-change value, the second state value and the time constant value to a projected steady state conditions function. The projected steady state condition value is compared with a previously computed projected steady state condition value. The difference between these two steady state condition values is then compared with a threshold value to determine if a satisfactory projection of the steady state condition has been obtained. Full cycles of the property state of the product may be projected. Preferably, a closed form solution for the time constant and the projected steady state conditions function are used for the projection.