Ensemble time series model for forecasting

Abstract

An ensemble time series prediction system that makes predictions based on observed data. The disclosed ensemble time series prediction system may leverage different types of datasets and information from different resources for making predictions. The disclosed ensemble time series prediction system may extract time dependent features from autoregressive time dependent data, embedding features from sparse datasets, continuous features from continuous dataset, and time lagged features from data that include time-lag information. The disclosed ensemble time series prediction system may then consolidate the features extracted from the different types of datasets and generate a set of consolidated input features for training a neural network, which may include a recurrent neural unit that finds sequential pattern for the sequence of input features and a regression unit that performs regression and predictions. The ensemble time series prediction system may output a set of outputs that include predicted values and associated confidence intervals.