Hyperparameter tuning for anomaly detection service implementing machine learning forecasting

Abstract

Implementations of this disclosure provide an anomaly detection system and methods of performing anomaly detection on a time-series dataset. The anomaly detection may include utilization of a forecasting machine learning algorithm to obtain a prediction of points of the dataset and comparing the predicted value of a point in the dataset with the actual value to determine an error value associated with that point. Additionally, the anomaly detection may include determination of a sensitivity threshold that impacts whether points within the dataset associated with certain error values are flagged as anomalies. The forecasting machine learning algorithm may implement a seasonality component determination process that accounts for seasonality or patterns in the dataset. A search query statement may be automatically generated through importing the sensitivity threshold into a predetermined search query statement that implements that forecasting machine learning algorithm.