Method and system for predicting gas content in transformer oil based on joint model

Abstract

A method and a system for predicting a gas content in transformer oil based on a joint model are provided and belong a field of transformer failure prediction. The method includes the following: determining a type and a time series of gas to be predicted related to a failure, processing an original series by adopting empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and local mean decomposition (LMD) for a non-stationarity characteristic of a dissolved gas concentration series in oil; performing normalization on each sub-series component, dividing a training sample and a test sample; and establishing a deep belief network (DBN) prediction model for each of the sub-series components for training, performing superposition and reconstruction on the established DBN prediction model to perform characteristic extraction and classification on multi-dimensional data of the failure, evaluating prediction performance of the prediction model through calculating an error index.