Systems and methods for predicting hydrocarbon production and assessing prediction uncertainty

Abstract

Methods and systems for predicting hydrocarbon production and production uncertainty are disclosed. Exemplary implementations may: obtain training data, the training data including (i) training production data, (ii) training engineering parameters, and (iii) a training set of geological parameters and corresponding training geological parameter uncertainty values; obtain an initial production model; generate a trained production model by training the initial production model; store the trained production model; obtain a target set of geological parameters and corresponding target geological parameter uncertainty values and target engineering parameters; apply the trained production model to generate a set of production values and corresponding production uncertainty values; generate a representation using visual effects to depict at least a portion of the set of production values and corresponding production uncertainty values as a function of position within the subsurface volume of interest; and display the representation.