Temporal explanations of machine learning model outcomes

Abstract

In transactional systems where past transactions can have impact on the current score of a machine learning based decision model, the transactions that are most responsible for the score and the associated reasons are determined by the transactional system. A system and method identifies such past transactions that maximally impact the current score and allow for a more effective understanding of the scores generated by a model in a transactional system and explanation of specific transactions for automated decisioning, to explain the scores in terms of past transactions. Further an existing instance-based explanation system is used to identify the reasons for the score, and how the identified transactions influence these reasons. A combination of impact on score and impact on reasons determines the most impactful past transaction with respect to the most recent score being explained.