The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.
The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.
Patent No.:
Date of Patent:
Jun. 02, 2020
Filed:
Jun. 09, 2016
Microsoft Technology Licensing, Llc, Redmond, WA (US);
Gagan Bansal, Sunnyvale, CA (US);
Amita Surendra Gajewar, Sunnyvale, CA (US);
Debraj GuhaThakurta, Bellevue, WA (US);
Konstantin Golyaev, Lake Forest Park, WA (US);
Mayank Shrivastava, Kirkland, WA (US);
Vijay Krishna Narayanan, Mountain View, CA (US);
Walter Sun, Bellevue, WA (US);
MICROSOFT TECHNOLOGY LICENSING, LLC, Redmond, WA (US);
Abstract
A multi-horizon predictor system that predicts a future parameter value for multiple horizons based on time-series data of the parameter, external data, and machine-learning. For a given time horizon, a time series data splitter splits the time into training data corresponding to a training time period, and a validation time period corresponding to a validation time period between the training time period and the given horizon. A model tuner tunes the prediction model of the given horizon fitting an initial prediction model to the parameter using the training data thereby using machine learning. The model tuner also tunes the initial prediction model by adjusting an effect of the external data on the prediction to generate a final prediction model for the given horizon using the validation data. A multi-horizon predictor causes the time series data splitter and the model tuner to operate for each of multiple horizons.