The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.

The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.

Date of Patent:
Apr. 21, 2020

Filed:

Apr. 24, 2013
Applicant:

International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, NY (US);

Inventors:

Soumyadip Ghosh, Peekskill, NY (US);

Jonathan R. M. Hosking, Scarsdale, NY (US);

Ramesh Natarajan, Pleasantville, NY (US);

Shivaram Subramanian, Danbury, CT (US);

Xiaoxuan Zhang, Park Ridge, NJ (US);

Attorneys:
Primary Examiner:
Int. Cl.
CPC ...
G06Q 30/02 (2012.01);
U.S. Cl.
CPC ...
G06Q 30/0202 (2013.01); G06Q 30/0206 (2013.01);
Abstract

Systems and methods for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems in the presence of dynamic control or dynamic incentives. A method for modeling a cyclical demand system comprises obtaining historical data on one or more demand measurements over a plurality of demand cycles, obtaining historical data on incentive signals over the plurality of demand cycles, constructing a model using the obtained historical data on the one or more demand measurements and the incentive signals, wherein constructing the model comprises specifying a state-space model, specifying variance parameters in the model, and estimating unknown variance parameters.


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