The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.
The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.
Patent No.:
Date of Patent:
Nov. 05, 2019
Filed:
Mar. 04, 2014
International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, NY (US);
Aaron K. Baughman, Gaithersburg, MD (US);
Guillermo A. Cecchi, Yorktown Heights, NY (US);
James R. Kozloski, New Fairfield, CT (US);
Brian M. O'Connell, Cary, NC (US);
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION, Armonk, NY (US);
Abstract
A method, system, and computer program product for selecting forecasting model complexity using eigenvalues are provided in the illustrative embodiments A process is represented in a model. The model comprises a mathematical representation of the process in a certain degree. A first portion of historical data generated by the process during a first period is selected and includes an actual value of an outcome of the process and a value of a feature influencing the process during the first period. A prediction is made of a predicted value of the outcome. A difference between the prediction and the actual value of the outcome is determined. The difference is represented as a change in a distribution of eigenvalues. According to the change, a second model is to represent the process. The second model comprises a second mathematical representation of the process in a different degree.