The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.

The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.

Date of Patent:
Aug. 20, 2019

Filed:

Jun. 29, 2015
Applicant:

Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, Munich, DE;

Inventors:

Chao Yuan, Plainsboro, NJ (US);

Amit Chakraborty, East Windsor, NJ (US);

Holger Hackstein, Dietzenbach, DE;

Assignee:
Attorney:
Primary Examiner:
Int. Cl.
CPC ...
G01W 1/10 (2006.01); G06Q 10/04 (2012.01); G06N 7/00 (2006.01); G01W 1/12 (2006.01); G06F 17/18 (2006.01); G06Q 50/06 (2012.01);
U.S. Cl.
CPC ...
G01W 1/10 (2013.01); G01W 1/12 (2013.01); G06F 17/18 (2013.01); G06N 7/005 (2013.01); G06Q 10/04 (2013.01); G06Q 50/06 (2013.01);
Abstract

A method for solar forecasting includes receiving a plurality of solar energy data as a function of time of day at a first time, forecasting from the solar energy data a mode, where the mode is a sunny day, a cloudy day, or an overcast day, and the forecast predicts the mode for a next solar energy datum, receiving the next solar energy datum, updating a probability distribution function (pdf) of the next solar energy datum given the mode, updating a pdf of the mode for the next solar energy datum from the updated pdf of the new solar energy datum given the mode, forecasting a plurality of future unobserved solar energy data from the updated pdf of the mode, where the plurality of future unobserved solar energy data and the plurality of solar energy data have a Gaussian distribution for a given mode determined from training data.


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