Techniques for estimating compound probability distribution by simulating large empirical samples with scalable parallel and distributed processing

Abstract

Techniques for estimated compound probability distribution are described herein. Embodiments may include receiving a compound model specification comprising a frequency model and a severity model, the compound model specification including a model error comprising a frequency model error and a severity model error, and determining a number of frequency models and severity models to generate based on the received number of models to generate. Embodiments include generating a plurality of frequency models through perturbation of the frequency model according to the frequency model error, and generating a plurality of severity models through perturbation of the severity model according to the severity model error. Further, embodiments include dividing generation of a plurality of compound model samples among a plurality of distributed worker nodes, and receiving the plurality of compound model samples from the distributed worker nodes, and generating aggregate statistics from the plurality of compound model samples.