The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document.

The patent badge is an abbreviated version of the USPTO patent document. The patent badge covers the following: Patent number, Date patent was issued, Date patent was filed, Title of the patent, Applicant, Inventor, Assignee, Attorney firm, Primary examiner, Assistant examiner, CPCs, and Abstract. The patent badge does contain a link to the full patent document (in Adobe Acrobat format, aka pdf). To download or print any patent click here.

Date of Patent:
Sep. 25, 2018

Filed:

Nov. 30, 2015
Applicant:

International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, NY (US);

Inventors:

Firas Bouz, Lexington, KY (US);

Pawel Jasionowski, Wroclaw, PL;

Attorneys:
Primary Examiner:
Int. Cl.
CPC ...
G06F 15/177 (2006.01); H04L 12/24 (2006.01);
U.S. Cl.
CPC ...
H04L 41/082 (2013.01); H04L 41/147 (2013.01);
Abstract

A method and associated systems for predicting a degree of risk associated with a planned change to a computer server or other electronic component. A computerized change-management system receives Probability and Impact inputs derived from user-derived input, from which it determines a Baseline risk of change failure. The system processes mined data to determine an historic change-failure rate as a function of a type of change, and computes a predictive incident probability based on a predictive analytics engine's forecast of whether a particular type of server will be problematic. The system then computes a final Change Risk by adjusting the Baseline risk as a function of the historic change-failure rate, the predictive incident-probability, and a Baseline-specific weighting factor. If the resulting Change Risk is judged to be elevated, the system initiates collateral actions and notifications intended to reduce the probability and impact of a change failure.


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