Method for predicting temperatures which are tolerable by a component, a piece of equipment or an airplane structure

Abstract

A method for predicting temperatures tolerable by a component, a piece of equipment or a vehicle structure. This method includes the steps of determining, for each piece of equipment, component or structure of the vehicle, such as an airplane, a temperature spectrum depending on a plurality of extrinsic parameters measured during a full operating cycle of the airplane, by taking into account, for each piece of equipment, component or structure, possible combinations of the extrinsic parameters and setting aside unlikely combinations of the extrinsic parameters, determining, for each piece of equipment, component or structure, the probability of occurrence of the spectrum during the full airplane operating cycle, and defining a database including the temperature spectra so as to predict the lifetimes of the piece of equipment, component or structure and redefine weather and operational standards indicating extreme temperatures and their probability of occurrence obtained with the measured extrinsic parameters.