Oracle International Corporation

Zexi Chen

Kenny C Gross

Guang Chao Wang

Ashin George

Rui Zhong

A double-blind comparison is performed between prognostic-surveillance systems, which are located on a local system and a remote system. During operation, the local system inserts random faults into a dataset to produce a locally seeded dataset, wherein the random faults are inserted into random signals at random times with variable fault signatures. Next, the local system exchanges the locally seeded dataset with a remote system, and in return receives a remotely seeded dataset, which was produced by the remote system by inserting different random faults into the same dataset. Next, the local system uses a local prognostic-surveillance system to analyze the remotely seeded dataset to produce locally detected faults. Finally, the local system determines a performance of the local prognostic-surveillance system by comparing the locally detected faults against actual faults in the remotely seeded fault information. The remote system similarly determines a performance of a remote prognostic-surveillance system.

Using a double-blind challenge to evaluate machine-learning-based prognostic-surveillance techniques

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system that characterizes susceptibility of an inferential model to follow signal degradation. During operation, the system receives a set of time-series signals associated with sensors in a monitored system during normal fault-free operation. Next, the system trains the inferential model using the set of time-series signals. The system then characterizes susceptibility of the inferential model to follow signal degradation. During this process, the system adds degradation to a signal in the set of time-series signals to produce a degraded signal. Next, the system uses the inferential model to perform prognostic-surveillance operations on the set of time-series signals with the degraded signal. Finally, the system characterizes susceptibility of the inferential model to follow degradation in the signal based on results of the prognostic-surveillance operations.

Characterizing susceptibility of a machine-learning model to follow signal degradation and evaluating possible mitigation strategies

A system is provided for training an inferential model based on selected training vectors. During operation, the system receives training data comprising observations for a set of time-series signals gathered from sensors in a monitored system during normal fault-free operation. Next, the system divides the observations into N subgroups comprising non-overlapping time windows of observations. The system then selects observations with a local minimum value and a local maximum value for all signals from each subgroup to be training vectors for the inferential model. Finally, the system trains the inferential model using the selected training vectors. Note that by selecting observations with local minimum and maximum values to be training vectors, the system maximizes an operational range for the training vectors, which reduces clipping in estimates subsequently produced by the inferential model and thereby reduces false alarms.

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Mountain View, CA, United States of America

Zexi Chen