State Grid Corporation of China

Clp Puri Zhangbei Wind Power Research & Testing Co

China Electric Power Research Institute Company Li

Xiaofeng Pan

Nan Zhang

Chun Yen Liu

Xiaofei Li

Xiaoyan Xu

Yanping Xu

Chi Yang Li

Weisheng Wang

Yuehui Huang

Yunfeng Gao

Yuefeng Wang

Cun Dong

A method and device for modeling a long-time-scale photovoltaic output time sequence are provided. The method includes that: historical data of a photovoltaic power station is acquired, and a photovoltaic output with a time length of one year and a time resolution of 15 mins is selected (); weather types of days corresponding to the photovoltaic output are acquired from a weather station (), and probabilities of transfer between each type of weather are calculated respectively (); and a simulated time sequence of the photovoltaic output within a preset time scale is generated (), and its validity is verified (). By the method, annual and monthly photovoltaic output simulated time sequences consistent with a random fluctuation rule of a photovoltaic time sequence may be acquired according to different requirements to provide a favorable condition and a data support for analog simulation of time sequence production including massive new energy.

Method and device for modeling a long-time-scale photovoltaic output time sequence

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Beijing, China

Xiaofeng Pan