Schlumberger Technology Corporation

Timothy J Roberts

Aria Abubakar

Supriya Gupta

A method includes receiving historical well-production data, and determining curve parameters based on the historical well production data. Determining the curve parameters includes accounting for uncertainty. The method also includes determining curve fits for the historical data based on the curve parameters using a plurality of models, calculating accuracy for each of the models based on a comparison of the curve fits to the well-production data, comparing the accuracy for each of the models using an information criteria that accounts for uncertainty, selecting one of the models based on the comparison, and determining an estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) for the well using at least the selected one of the models.

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Houston, TX, United States of America

Timothy J Roberts