Siemens Aktiengesellschaft

Niklas Buerger

Hans-Henning Klos

Christoph Paulitsch

Jens Schnittger

Felix Baer

A method provides predictions of key performance indicators of a product variant of a product family manufactured by a complex manufacturing system in a manufacturing process. The method provides a manufacturing operation model for each manufacturing operation type used to manufacture a product variant of the product family. Via the complex manufacturing system measured contributions to key performance indicators, process context data and process execution data of manufacturing operations, are provided. The model parameters of the provided manufacturing operation models are learned automatically based on collected process context data, collected process execution data, and measured contributions to key performance indicators, to update the manufacturing operation models. An updated production efficiency model combining updated manufacturing models including the updated manufacturing operation models, to calculate the predictions of the key performance indicators, of the product variant, to be manufactured, depending on a product configuration of the respective product variant, is evaluated.

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Nuremberg, Germany

Niklas Buerger