Oracle International Corporation

Mengying Li

Kenny C Gross

Zhen Hua Liu

Dieter Gawlick

Alan Paul Wood

Avishkar Misra

Steven T Jeffreys

Benjamin P Franklin, Jr

Lawrence L Fumagalli, Jr

Tahereh Masoumi

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system that facilitates development of machine-learning techniques to perform prognostic-surveillance operations on time-series data from a monitored system, such as a power plant and associated power-distribution system. During operation, the system receives original time-series signals comprising sequences of observations obtained from sensors in the monitored system. Next, the system decomposes the original time-series signals into deterministic and stochastic components. The system then uses the deterministic and stochastic components to produce synthetic time-series signals, which are statistically indistinguishable from the original time-series signals. Finally, the system enables a developer to use the synthetic time-series signals to develop machine-learning (ML) techniques to perform prognostic-surveillance operations on subsequently received time-series signals from the monitored system.

Synthesizing high-fidelity time-series sensor signals to facilitate machine-learning innovations

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system that caches time-series data in a time-series database system. During operation, the system receives the time-series data, wherein the time-series data comprises a series of observations obtained from sensor readings for each signal in a set of signals. Next, the system performs a multivariate memory vectorization (MMV) operation on the time-series data, which selects a subset of observations in the time-series data that represents an underlying structure of the time-series data for individual and multivariate signals that comprise the time-series data. The system then performs a geometric compression aging (GAC) operation on the selected subset of time-series data. While subsequently processing a query involving the time-series data, the system: caches the selected subset of the time-series data in an in-memory database cache in the time-series database system; and accesses the selected subset of the time-series data from the in-memory database cache.

Multivariate memory vectorization technique to facilitate intelligent caching in time-series databases

We present a system that performs prognostic surveillance operations based on sensor signals from a power plant and critical assets in the transmission and distribution grid. The system obtains signals comprising time-series data obtained from sensors during operation of the power plant and associated transmission grid. The system uses an inferential model trained on previously received signals to generate estimated values for the signals. The system then performs a pairwise differencing operation between actual values and the estimated values for the signals to produce residuals. The system subsequently performs a sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) on the residuals to detect incipient anomalies that arise during operation of the power plant and associated transmission grid. While performing the SPRT, the system dynamically updates SPRT parameters to compensate for non-Gaussian artifacts that arise in the sensor data due to changing operating conditions. When an anomaly is detected, the system generates a notification.

Bivariate optimization technique for tuning SPRT parameters to facilitate prognostic surveillance of sensor data from power plants

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system that certifies provenance of time-series data in a time-series database. During operation, the system retrieves time-series data from the time-series database, wherein the time-series data comprises a sequence of observations comprising sensor readings for each signal in a set of signals. The system also retrieves multivariate state estimation technique (MSET) estimates, which were computed for the time-series data, from the time-series database. Next, the system performs a reverse MSET computation to produce reconstituted time-series data from the MSET estimates. The system then compares the reconstituted time-series data with the time-series data. If the reconstituted time-series data matches the original time-series data, the system certifies provenance for the time-series data.

MSET-based process for certifying provenance of time-series data in a time-series database

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system that removes quantization effects from a set of time-series signals to produce highly accurate approximations of a set of original unquantized signals. During operation, for each time-series signal in the set of time-series signals, the system determines a number of quantization levels (N) in the time-series signal. Next, the system performs a fast Fourier transform (FFT) on the time-series signal to produce a set of Fourier modes for the time-series signal. The system then determines an optimal number of Fourier modes (N) to reconstruct the time-series signal based on the determined Nfor the time-series signal. Next, the system selects Nlargest-amplitude Fourier modes from the set of Fourier modes for the time-series signal. The system then performs an inverse FFT operation using the Nlargest-amplitude Fourier modes to produce a dequantized time-series signal to be used in place of the time-series signal.

Dequantizing low-resolution IoT signals to produce high-accuracy prognostic indicators

The disclosed embodiments relate to a system for performing prognostic surveillance operations on sensor data. During operation, the system obtains a group of signals from sensors in a monitored system during operation of the monitored system. Next, if possible, the system performs a clustering operation, which divides the group of signals into groups of correlated signals. Then, for one or more groups of signals that exceed a specified size, the system randomly partitions the groups of signals into smaller groups of signals. Next, for each group of signals, the system trains an inferential model for a prognostic pattern-recognition system based on signals in the group of signals. Then, for each group of signals, the system uses a prognostic pattern-recognition system in a surveillance mode and the inferential model to detect incipient anomalies that arise during execution of the monitored system.

Hybrid clustering-partitioning techniques that optimizes accuracy and compute cost for prognostic surveillance of sensor data

During operation, the system receives a set of input signals containing electrical usage data from a set of smart meters, wherein each smart meter gathers electrical usage data from a customer of the utility system. Next, the system uses the set of input signals to train an inferential model, which learns correlations among the set of input signals, and uses the inferential model to produce a set of inferential signals, wherein an inferential signal is produced for each input signal in the set of input signals. The system then uses a Fourier-based technique to decompose each inferential signal into deterministic and stochastic components, and uses the deterministic and stochastic components to generate a set of synthesized signals, which are statistically indistinguishable from the inferential signals. Finally, the system projects the set of synthesized signals into the future to produce a forecast for the electricity demand.

Growing community of inventors

La Jolla, CA, United States of America

Mengying Li