Siemens Aktiengesellschaft

Markus Reischböck

Joachim Bamberger

Michael Metzger

Andrei Szabo

Arvid Amthor

Mathias Duckheim

Systems and methods for probability forecasts and an energy transmission and/or energy distribution network are provided. Operational management may be carried out using a network control system with systematic consideration of forecast uncertainties. The probability of a distribution network being operable in a stable manner (e.g., with N-1 certainty) in a planning period is included. The system includes a forecaster for forecasts for a planning period, a forecast analyzer connected to the forecasts from the at least one forecaster, and elements for further information for outputting estimated forecast uncertainties. The system also includes a stability probability analyzer connected to the forecasts from the at least one forecaster, the estimated forecast uncertainties from the forecast analyzer, and elements for further information for outputting at least one item of information relating to an N-1 stability of the distribution network in the planning period.

Device for probability forecasts, energy transmission and/or energy distribution network

A method for controlling an electrical energy distribution network in which electrical power is provided via network nodes connected via power lines is provided. A portion of the network nodes are controllable network nodes with respective local controllers, and at least a portion of the controllable network nodes are energy generators. The energy distribution network is coupled to an energy transmission network at a point of common coupling and provides electrical power to the energy transmission network at the point of common coupling. The electrical power originates from the controllable network nodes. A central controller communicates with the local controllers and the energy transmission network. The central controller controls the energy distribution network with the aid of the communication with the local controllers and the energy transmission network such that at the point of common coupling, primary control power and short-circuit power are kept available for the energy transmission network.

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Erlangen, Germany

Markus Reischböck