Aptima, Inc.

Wright State University

Jared Freeman

Georgiy Levchuk

Wayne Shebilske

Embodiments of this invention comprise modeling a subject's state and the influence of training treatments, or actions, on that state to create a training policy. Both state and effects of actions are modeled as probabilistic using Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) techniques. Utilizing this model and the resulting training policy with subjects creates an effective decision aid for instructors to improve learning relative to a traditional scenario selection strategy.

Probabilistic decision making system and methods of use

Embodiments of this invention comprise modeling a subject's state and the influence of training scenarios, or actions, on that state to create a training policy. Both state and effects of actions are modeled as probabilistic using Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) techniques. The POMDP is well suited to decision-theoretic planning under uncertainty. Utilizing this model and the resulting training policy with real world subjects creates a surprisingly effective decision aid for instructors to improve learning relative to a traditional scenario selection strategy. POMDP provides a more valid representation of trainee state and training effects, thus it is capable of producing more valid recommendations concerning how to structure training to subjects.

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Bethesda, MD, United States of America

Jared Freeman