Honghao Shi

Jingyuan Wang

An epidemic forecasting model for policies of prevention, control and isolation is disclosed, including: establishing a SUEIR model; dividing, by the SUEIR model, population according to an ability of infection and a way of infection; classifying patients further into three states: unconfirmed, confirmed but not in isolation, and confirmed and in isolation; calculating a number of people in each state in the future by using the SUEIR model; and accumulating the number of people in the confirmed state to realize the forecasting of the number of confirmed cases. The disclosure not only accurately forecasts the number of confirmed cases, but also explains various policies of prevention and control.

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Beijing, China

Honghao Shi