Hitachi, Ltd.

Hiroshi Iimura

Hiroaki Ogawa

Tohru Watanabe

Masato Utsumi

Ikuo Shigemori

Yoshihisa Okamoto

Jun Yamazaki

Masashi Fukaya

Toshiyuki Sawa

Yu Ikemoto

Isao Hagiya

Masamichi Nakamura

Jyunpei Ogawa

Daisuke Hamaba

Youko Sakikubo

Kazuki Namba

Nobuhiro Gotouda

An estimation system generates, from a value of a time series of an estimation object in a past period, a plurality of patterns of a transition of a value of the estimation object. Based on the plurality of generated patterns and a value of a time series of a factor in the past period, the estimation system specifies a dependency relationship between a transition pattern and a value of the factor and a transition pattern at a past (or future) time point and identifies a model in accordance with the specified dependency relationship. By inputting a value of a time series of the factor in a future period to the estimation model, the estimation system specifies a time series of a value in the future period of the estimation object using at least one transition pattern.

Estimation system and estimation method

Provided is a data prediction system for predicting a future prediction value. The data prediction system has a data management device which manages data and a prediction operation device which models tendency of an error amount of a prediction operation result calculated on the basis of a correlation with a major explanatory variable and corrects a future prediction value. The data management device includes a storage unit which stores prediction target past measurement data observed with a time transition and explanatory factor data explaining the prediction target past measurement data. The prediction operation device includes a first prediction operation unit which performs prediction on the basis of a correlation between the prediction target past measurement data and the explanatory factor data, a second prediction operation unit which models tendency of an error of an operation result of the first prediction operation unit and performs future error amount prediction of the operation result of the first prediction operation unit, and a correction unit which corrects the operation result of the first prediction operation unit by an operation result of the second prediction operation unit.

Data prediction system and data prediction method

A data processing system calculates prediction or planning data of an object from observation data of a calculation object of the prediction or planning data and observation data of various factors, including a first processing section which identifies a model used for calculation of the prediction or planning data of each of the factors, a second processing section which calculates data which indices the kind of a time transition of the factor from the observation data of the factor and classifies the observation data of the factor by using the calculated data which indicates the kind of the time transition, and a third processing section which changes the model for calculation of the prediction or planning data on the basis of the classified observation data and the prediction data of the factor in a prediction or planning data calculation object time period and calculates the prediction or planning data.

Data processing system and data processing method

Provided is a prediction system for calculating a prediction value related to a prediction target to which prediction in an arbitrary period is adapted. The prediction system includes a storage device which records a plurality of data used to calculate the prediction value and a control device which includes a predetermined operation model and applies the plurality of data to the operation model to calculate the prediction value. The control device changes the operation model, on the basis of information of respective temporal attributes of the plurality of data.

Prediction system and prediction method

An energy operation system, apparatus, and method capable of stably supplying energy and providing adjustment control based on prediction precision and planning precision for energy supply and demand. An energy operation apparatus includes a demand predictor, planner, evaluator, and solution quality controller. The demand predictor predicts demand and/or a power generation amount of future energy in a management area. The planner prepares a future energy supply plan in the management area based on a prediction. The evaluator evaluates supply and/or demand conditions including at least one of future weather in the management area, energy demand in the management area, a demand density and/or a generation density of future energy in the management area. The solution quality controller controls the quality of at least one of a prediction solution of the demand predictor and the energy supply plan of the planner based on an evaluation result from the evaluator.

Energy operation apparatus, method, and system

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Tokyo, Japan

Hiroshi Iimura