Fresenius Medical Care Holdings, Inc.

Doris Fuertinger

Peter Kotanko

Stephan Thijssen

Franz Kappel

Nathan W Levin

Described herein are computer systems and methods for generating, in silico, one or more virtual patients. The one or more virtual patients can be used, for example, to conduct a virtual clinical trial, such as to determine an efficacy of a therapy or medical device. The one or more virtual patients mathematically represent a physiological system in an actual patient for a health condition. Also, the one or more virtual patients can be used, for example, to determine an adverse effect from a therapy or any other deviation from a therapy, or compliance of a patient suffering from a health condition on a therapeutic protocol.

System and method of conducting in silico clinical trials

A method of adjusting a patient's undesired hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration to a value within a desired range at a predetermined time with an erythropoiesis stimulating agent (ESA) regimen includes obtaining patient parameters required for input into a model for predicting the patient's hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration at a predetermined time with a selected ESA administration regimen, and employing the patient parameters and an initially selected EPO administration regimen in the model to predict the patient's hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration at the predetermined time with the initially selected ESA administration regimen. Optionally, if the patient's hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration is not predicted by the model to be in the desired range at the predetermined time, the method includes employing the model with one or more different ESA administration regimens until the model predicts that the patient's hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration will be in the desired range at the predetermined time. The method then includes administering ESA to the patient with an ESA administration regimen predicted to adjust the patient's hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration to the desired range at the predetermined time. The method can be implemented in a computer system for adjusting a patient's undesired hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration to a desired range at a predetermined time with an erythropoiesis stimulating agent (ESA) regimen.

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Graz, Austria

Doris Fuertinger