International Business Machines Corporation

Davood Shamsi

Geetika Tewari Lakshmanan

Yurdaer Nezihi Doganata

Paul Turquand Keyser

Songyun Duan

Rania Yousef Khalaf

A method for predictive analytics in a semi-structured process including updating, iteratively, at least one probability of a probabilistic process model based on a completed task, wherein updating the at least one probability of the probabilistic process model includes receiving the probabilistic process model associated with a todo list including a plurality of tasks of the semi-structured process, defining a cost of each of the plurality of tasks, prioritizing the plurality of tasks according to the costs, and recommending a next task from the todo list according to a prioritization

Generating predictions from a probabilistic process model

A method for predictive analytics in a semi-structured process including receiving traces of the semi-structured process, at least one of the traces including a document content value, determining a process model from the traces, the process model comprising tasks at nodes of the semi-structured process and embodies all possible execution sequences in the process, determining a probabilistic graph including a probability at each of the tasks of the semi-structured process advancing from one task to another task, and combining the process model and probabilistic graph to determine a probabilistic process model including probabilities and strengths of transitions between tasks.

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Stanford, CA, United States of America

Davood Shamsi