Johns Hopkins University

Bruce K Newhall

Juan I Arvelo, Jr

Joseph S Lombardo

Howard S Burkom

Fernando J Pineda

Rashid A Chotani

Richard A Wojcik

Wayne A Loschen

Background noise from relevant data sets, including for example over-the-counter sales data, absenteeism data, etc., is subtracted using a background estimation algorithm that outputs residual data. The effects of hypothetical anomalous events, such as a bio-terrorist attack, on the relevant data sets are modeled to create replica data. The replica data may be based on input from epidemiologists and various scenario templates including information on disease manifestation and other intelligence. The residual data and the replica data are then matched using a detector. Types of detectors include for example adaptive matched-filter detectors, change detectors and Bayesian Inference Networks. An alarm is triggered if a real anomalous event similar to a hypothetical anomalous event is detected. A Geographical Information System (GIS) may be used to display data from individual zip codes.

Method and system for bio-surveillance detection and alerting

A system and method for predicting active, low-frequency sonar array performance in shallow, littoral waters using a physics-based modeling of acoustic reverberation. An operator characterizes the active sonar's acoustic transmitter and receiver, the environment it is operating in and the targets to be detected. The operator selects appropriate bathymetry, bottom composition and sound-speed profile. The spatial resolution of the bathymetry database is enhanced using fractal interpolation and a bottom-loss-and-scattering corrected-for-slope is calculated. A semi-empirical scattering strength is derived from a wind-speed data base and a stochastic biologic realization is derived from a biologic population database. These are then used to calculate a deterministic component of bottom, surface and volume reverberation using a normal mode mathematical model of acoustic wave propagation. A stochastic realization of clutter is calculated using a Generalized Gamma distribution database, and combined with the deterministic components of reverberation.

Method and apparatus for active sonar performance prediction

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Columbia, MD, United States of America

Bruce K Newhall