International Business Machines Corporation

Doordash, Inc.

Brian Leo Quanz

Xuan Liu

Ajay Ashok Deshpande

Ali Koc

Yingjie Li

Arun Hampapur

Dahai Xing

Saurabh Gupta

Christopher Scott Milite

Chek Keong Tan

Xiaobo Zheng

Yada Zhu

Alan Jonathan King

Lei Cao

Pavithra Harsha

Pradyumnha Gopalkrishna Kowlani

Shivaram Subramanian

Wei Sun

Dingding Lin

Max Biggs

Pin-Yu Chen

Shyh-Kwei Chen

Ding Ding Lin

Chandrasekhar Narayanaswami

Jae-Eun Park

Payel Das

Jae-Wook Ahn

Yue Tong

Xiao Mei Zheng

Vadiraja S Ramamurthy

Steve Igrejas

Michael Yesudas

Sanjay E Cheeran

Sachin Sethiya

Dhruv Shah

Mahesh Ramakrishna

In an aspect, input data can be received, including at least time series data associated with purchases of at least one product and causal influencer data associated with the purchases. The causal influencer data can include at least non-stationary data, where lost shares associated with said at least one product are unobserved. An artificial neural network can be trained based on the received input data to predict a future global demand associated with at least one product and individual market shares associated with at least one product. The artificial neural network can include at least a first temporal network to predict the global demand and a second temporal network to predict each of the individual market shares. The first temporal network and the second temporal network can be trained simultaneously.

Generalized demand estimation for automated forecasting systems

A machine learning system that incorporates arbitrary constraints is provided. The machine learning system selects a set of domain-specific constraints from a plurality of sets of domain-specific constraints. The machine learning system selects a set of general functional relationships from a plurality of sets of general functional relationships. The machine learning system maps the selected set of general functional relationships and the selected set of domain-specific constraints to a set of learning transforms. The machine learning system modifies a machine learning specification according to the set of learning transforms, wherein the machine learning specification specifies a model construction, a model setup, and a training objective function. The machine learning system optimizes a machine learning model according to the modified machine learning specification.

Domain-specific constraints for predictive modeling

A computer implemented method and system of evaluating a fulfillment strategy in an omnichannel distribution system is provided. Input parameters are received from a computing device of a user. Historical data related to a network of nodes is received from a data repository. A synthetic demand status is determined based on the historical data and the input parameters. A synthetic network status based on the historical data and the input parameters are determined. A fulfillment strategy is identified based on the synthetic demand status and the synthetic network status. Key performance indicators (KPIs) for the fulfillment strategy are determined based on the synthetic demand status and the synthetic network status.

System for modeling the performance of fulfilment machines

A processor may estimate uncensored demand from historical supply chain data. The processor may ingest historical data. The processor may convert the historical data to a dataset of multiple time series corresponding to sales for different products and locations and channels across multiple time points that is usable by an uncensored demand estimation machine learning model. The processor may train the uncensored demand estimation machine learning model by applying optimization solver techniques for deep learning.

Supply chain demand uncensoring

A machine learning system that incorporates arbitrary constraints into deep learning model is provided. The machine learning system provides a set of penalty data points en a set of arbitrary constraints in addition to a set of original training data points. The machine learning system assigns a penalty to each penalty data point in the set of penalty data points. The machine learning system optimizes a machine learning model by solving an objective function based on an original loss function and a penalty loss function. The original loss function is evaluated over a set of original training data points and the penalty loss function is evaluated over the set of penalty data points. The machine learning system provides the optimized machine learning model based on a solution of the objective function.

Loss augmentation for predictive modeling

A machine learning system that uses a split net configuration to incorporate arbitrary constraints receives a set of input data and a set of functional constraints. The machine learning system jointly optimizes a deep learning model by using the set of input data and a wide learning model by using the set of constraints. The deep learning model includes an input layer, an output layer, and an intermediate layer between the input layer and the output layer. The wide learning model includes an input layer and an output layer but no intermediate layer. The machine learning system provides a machine learning model comprising the optimized deep learning model and the optimized wide learning model.

Split-net configuration for predictive modeling

Embodiments relate to a system, program product, and method for inducing creativity in an artificial neural network (ANN) having an encoder and decoder. Neurons are automatically selected and manipulated from one or more layers of the encoder. An encoded vector is sampled for an encoded image. Decoder neurons and a corresponding activation pattern are evaluated with respect to the encoded image. The decoder neurons that correspond to the activation pattern are selected, and an activation setting of the selected decoder neurons is changed. One or more novel data instances are automatically generated from an original latent space of the selectively changed decoder neurons.

Inducing creativity in an artificial neural network

Data content delivery and validation in a computer environment may provide a file system in the computer environment, the file system subdivided into unique folder locations per content type, each of the unique folder locations representing a content type folder. The file system is monitored for changes to a content type folder. An occurrence of a manifest file in the content type folder may be detected, the occurrence of the manifest file ensuring that all files in a package of files associated with the manifest file have arrived. Content of the manifest file may be analyzed to check validity of the files. A content package registry may be queried to determine a base job for processing a given content type associated with the package of files, and the base job may be run to process the package of files.

Data delivery and validation in hybrid cloud environments

Embodiments herein describe a return network simulation system that can simulate changes in a retailer's return network to determine the impact of those changes. Advantageously, being able to accurately simulate the retailer's return network means changes can be evaluated without first making those adjustments in the physical return network. Doing so avoids the cost of implementing the changes on the return network without first being able to predict whether the changes will have a net positive result (e.g., a positive result that offsets any negative results). A retailer can first simulate the change on the return network, review how the change affects one or more KPIs, and then decide whether to implement the change in the actual return network. As a result, the retailer has a reliable indicator whether the changes will result in a desired effect.

Simulating a return network

A computer implemented method and system of setting values of parameters of nodes in an omnichannel distribution system, the method comprising is provided. Input parameters are received from a computing device. Historical data related to the network of nodes is received from a data repository. A synthetic scenario is determined based on the received input parameters and the historical data. Each node is clustered into a corresponding category. For each category of nodes, key parameters are identified. A range of each key parameter is determined based on the synthetic scenario. A number of simulations N to perform with data sampled from the synthetic scenario within the determined range of each key parameter is determined. For each of the N simulations, a multi-objective optimization is performed to determine a cost factor of the parameter settings. The parameter settings with a lowest cost factor are selected.

Fulfilment machine for optimizing shipping

A computer implemented method and system of calculating labor resources for a network of nodes in an omnichannel distribution system. Input parameters are received from a computing device of a user. Historical data related to a network of nodes is received, from a data repository. A synthetic scenario is determined based on the received input parameters and the historical data. For each node, key parameters are identified and set based on a multi-objective optimization, wherein the multi-objective optimization includes a synthetic inventory allocation to the node based on the synthetic scenario. A synthetic labor efficiency is determined for the node from the synthetic scenario. Labor resources are calculated based on the synthetic inventory allocation for the synthetic scenario. The labor resources of at least one node are displayed on a user interface of a user device.

Machine for labor optimization for efficient shipping

Techniques for facilitating estimation of node processing capacity values for order fulfillment are provided. In one example, a computer-implemented method can comprise: generating, by a system operatively coupled to a processor, a current processing capacity value for an entity; and determining, by the system, a future processing capacity value for the entity based on the current processing capacity value and by using a future capacity model that has been explicitly trained to infer respective processing capacity values for the entity. The computer-implemented method can also comprise fulfilling an order of an item, by the system, based on the future processing capacity value.

Estimation of node processing capacity for order fulfillment

A computer implemented method and system of presenting content on a display of a computing device is provided. Historical data including data of a plurality of customers and data of a plurality of products is received. A hybrid graph is created. The hybrid graph includes one or more customer nodes and product nodes. Between each two customers, a customer weight factor is applied. Between each two products, a product weight factor is applied. One or more products related to a seed product are identified. For each identified related product, a return affinity score towards the requestor customer is determined. A representation of the related products is sent to be displayed on the computing device of the requestor customer, based on the affinity score.

Arranging content on a user interface of a computing device

Evaluating node fulfillment capacity in node order assignment by receiving a current order for node order assignment, retrieving data of each node, the retrieved data of each node including current capacity utilization, determining a probability of backlog on an expected ship date of each node, the probability of backlog being based on the retrieved current capacity utilization, determining a capacity utilization cost of each node based on the probability of backlog on the expected ship date, automatically calculating a fulfillment cost of each node of the current order based on the capacity utilization cost, identifying one or more nodes for the current order with the lowest fulfillment cost and automatically generating a node order assignment assigning the current order to one of the one or more nodes with the lowest fulfillment cost.

System and method to incorporate node fulfillment capacity and capacity utilization in balancing fulfillment load across retail supply networks

A method for continuously tracking business performance impact of order sourcing systems and algorithms that decide how ecommerce orders should be fulfilled by assigning the items of the order to nodes in a fulfillment network such as stores, distribution centers, and third party logistics&#x2014;to provide automatic root cause analysis and solution recommendations to pre-defined business problems arising from KPI monitoring. A Business Intelligence (BI) dashboard architecture operates with: 1) a monitoring module that continuously monitors business KPIs and creates abnormality alerts; and 2) a root cause analysis module that is designed specifically for each business problem to give real time diagnosis and solution recommendation. The root cause analysis module receives the created alert, and triggers conducting a root cause analysis at an analytics engine. The BI dashboard and user interface enables visualization of the KPI performance and root cause analysis results.

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Yorktown Heights, NY, United States of America

Brian Leo Quanz