Sap Ag

Weilburger Coatings Gmbh

Alexander Renz

Ye Chen

Simone KRÄMER-Lang

Fred-Michael Pfeifer

Methods and apparatus, including computer program products, implementing and using techniques for monitoring and predicting various data related to an inventory. A data processing apparatus interacts with one or more business computers to obtain one of replenishment and consumption activity data related to an inventory. A model for variations in the inventory is created. The model is used to determine estimates of variation for one of currently planned replenishment activities and currently planned consumption activities. The estimates of variation are used to predict future inventory levels. A system including one or more agent computers is also described.

Agent using detailed predictive model

An inventory agent operating on software includes instructions operable to cause a programmable processor to receive inventory data relating to stock in an inventory, apply the inventory data to a conditional probabilistic predictive statistical algorithm, calculate a predicted inventory level, and use the calculated predicted inventory level to determine whether to order additional stock for the inventory. The statistical algorithm uses a conditional probabilistic model to process the data. The inventory agent may be implemented in a supply chain management system.

Inventory early warning agent in a supply chain management system

An inventory agent operating on software includes instructions operable to cause a programmable processor to receive inventory data relating to stock in an inventory. The inventory data includes planned inventory data and actual inventory data. The instructions are operable to cause the programmable processor to use the inventory data to calculate one or more correlations in errors between the planned inventory data and the actual inventory data, use the one or more correlations in errors to estimate a probability density for one or more errors, calculate a predicted inventory level, calculate a likely error of the predicted inventory level using the estimate of the probability density, and adjust the predicted inventory level with the likely error to estimate a likely actual inventory level. The inventory agent may be implemented in a supply chain management system.

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Heidelberg, Germany

Alexander Renz