American Airlines, Inc.

Adam Thayer

Ou Bai

Na Deng

Venkata Pilla

Benjamin Segal

A method of training a neural network to approximate a forecasting error of a passenger-demand forecasting model that includes calculating, using the forecasting model, a historical passenger demand forecast for each key level in a set of key levels and for each departure date in a set of historical departures dates; applying a dropout model to the historical passenger demand forecasts to create a training sample; training, using the historical passenger demand forecasts and the training sample, the neural network, to approximate forecasting errors associated with the forecasting model; calculating, using the forecasting model, a future passenger demand forecast for each key level in the set of key levels and for each departure date in a set of future dates; and approximating, using the trained neural network, the forecasting error associated with the future passenger demand forecasts for the second set of departure dates.

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Arlington, TX, United States of America

Adam Thayer